Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has converted 43.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Knicks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.9).
While playing on the road, the Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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