Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.7 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The matchup against Memphis is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Grizzlies are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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