Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has scored 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.7 more than he's scored overall this season at home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.1).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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