Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has scored 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.7 higher than he's scored over the course of the year at home.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Gabe Vincent will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.1).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

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