Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for scoring; when the Hawks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.
The matchup against the Hawks is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.2 free throws per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

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