Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has posted 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.7 more than he's posted in all games this year at home.
The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for field goals; when the Hawks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.2 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

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