Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has scored 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.7 more than he's scored over the course of the year at home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
The matchup against New York is a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.5 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are away from home (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.2%).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

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