Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has scored 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 3.7 more than he's scored in all games this season at home.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Gabe Vincent will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the 76ers is a difficult one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (10.9).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat.

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