Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the 76ers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has sunk 37.9% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a challenging one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 15 games (10.9).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.

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