Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has sunk 37.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

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