Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup against Bruce Brown is a good one for scoring; when Brown is away from his home court opposing starting PGs this year, they have made a massive 7.0 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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