Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home.
The matchup against Jalen Green is a strong one; he has given up a whopping 22.1 points per game when facing opposing starting PGs this year (100th percentile).
The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Jalen Green is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when facing opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 5.3 foul shots per game (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 41.4% of his shot attempts from the field at home this year, ranking in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Gabe Vincent has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.

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