Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 6.6 threes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Gabe Vincent has successfully made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 20.9 foul shots per game with the home court advantage this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 20 games (40.6%).
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance across the board.

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