Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% more than he's made in all games this season while on his home court.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games while playing away from home (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Celtics is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted an enormous 20.5 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 4th-lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (36.6%).
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

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