Gabe Vincent Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has converted 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Gabe Vincent has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Mavericks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 24.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the league).
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

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