Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 9, 2023

Updated Jun 10, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (6.5).
The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
On the road, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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