Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 6/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Jun 1, 2023

Updated Jun 2, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has converted 2.7 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from three overall this season while on the road.
Gabe Vincent has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.5 higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 28th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.1%).
The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player production across the board.