Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2023

Updated May 28, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +136 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 2.4 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (7.2).
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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