Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 17, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 1:06 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 40.1% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while playing away from home.
Gabe Vincent has attempted 9.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games away from home, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Gabe Vincent has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (7.8).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.