Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against New York is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Knicks are the visiting team (7.6).
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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