Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has converted 39.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 9.2% more than he's made from three overall this year when playing away from home.
Gabe Vincent has attempted 8.6 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Gabe Vincent has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production across the board.

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