Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 2:51 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (6.4).
The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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