Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 11, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 45.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made from downtown overall this season while playing at home.
Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for threes; when the Hawks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 25th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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