Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The matchup against Philadelphia is a tough one for threes; when the 76ers are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 14th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.6).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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