Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has sunk 42.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.2% more than he's made from three in all games this season.
Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.1 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Gabe Vincent has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup against the Pistons is a good one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (6.6).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).