Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 6/7/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 7, 2023

Updated Jun 8, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has posted 3.7 assists per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
Gabe Vincent has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
Gabe Vincent will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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