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Gabe Vincent

Gabe Vincent Assists
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Gabe Vincent has compiled 4.0 assists per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's compiled overall this year.

Gabe Vincent has averaged 32.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 6.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.

The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Gabe Vincent has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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