Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 6/1/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Jun 1, 2023

Updated Jun 2, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+122/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 4.3 assists per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
Gabe Vincent has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.5 higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player production across the board.

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