Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/23/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 23, 2023

Updated May 24, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has put up 5.0 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put up over the course of the year at home.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this season at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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