Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has compiled 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.0 higher than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.
Gabe Vincent has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production across the board.

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