Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has posted 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.6 higher than he's posted overall this season on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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