Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has totaled 4.4 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.9 more than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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