Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 29.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces stat production for all stats.

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