Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has put up 3.3 assists per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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