Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has tallied 3.1 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 82nd percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

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