Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has compiled 3.1 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 82nd percentile.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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