Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has tallied 3.3 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the 76ers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
Gabe Vincent will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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