Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.3 assists per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.
Playing at home, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance across the board.

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