Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.3 assists per game on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gabe Vincent has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
Gabe Vincent will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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