Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has posted 2.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's best by this standard over this stretch of games: 75th percentile.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Gabe Vincent will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

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