Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has posted 2.8 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard in recent days: 75th percentile.
Gabe Vincent has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.2 more than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

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