Gabe Vincent Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2023

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Gabe Vincent

NBA · Player Props

Gabe Vincent

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gabe Vincent Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.8 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year on the road, which should raise [OPPORTUNITIES_POSSESSIONS] for the Thunder.
Gabe Vincent will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to the other team this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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