Fred VanVleet Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Steals

Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has put up 1.1 steals per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Fred VanVleet will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

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