Fred VanVleet Steals - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Steals

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 36.3 mark, Fred VanVleet's playing time has surged this year to 39.0 minutes per game.
Fred VanVleet has averaged a lowly 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.8 fouls per game last year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has posted a measly 0.6 steals per game this year, significantly less than his 1.8 steals per game last year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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