Fred VanVleet Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Steals

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.6 steals per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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