Fred VanVleet Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Steals

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has totaled 2.5 steals per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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