Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.5 defensive boards per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games: 76th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
Fred VanVleet will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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