Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 3.9 defensive boards per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 37.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The Bulls have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet should suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.

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