Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has put up 0.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the league trailers by this standard in recent games: 21st percentile.
Fred VanVleet has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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