Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 3.9 defensive boards per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch: 80th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (lengthening possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

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